Capital Economics Still Sees Long-End U.S. Treasury Yields Falling
Dow Jones
3 hours ago
0654 GMT - The recent steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve may be a cause for concern, but Capital Economics keeps its view that long-dated yields will fall. Bond markets saw a second straight week of curve steepening last week, which may reflect a rise in the term premium amid concerns over fiscal deficits, geopolitical risks and weaker institutional demand. That said, the resilience of the U.S. dollar and relatively contained market-implied inflation expectations suggest investors are not yet overly concerned about U.S. fiscal risks. Capital Economics maintains its view that long-dated Treasury yields will eventually fall, assuming the Fed proves less hawkish than currently priced and term premium doesn't rise substantially further.
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