Labor Market Weakness May Keep Fed on Hold This Year
Dow Jones
Yesterday
0946 ET - The labor market remains too weak for an extended tightening cycle following Friday's less-than-expected September payroll gain of just 29,000, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics in a note. The economists see the Fed pausing at the October meeting, and think a December move is far from certain. "We expect the FOMC to become increasingly worried about the labor market over the next year. Whether that anxiety deters another hike in December is a close call. But we still expect the Committee to resume easing from mid-2027, as inflation subsides and the labor market disruption from AI becomes too big to ignore," they say. There should be insight on what policymakers were discussing when they raised rates last month when Fed minutes are released on Wednesday.
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