Unemployment Rate Expected to Hold Steady

Dow Jones
Sep 29

The following are median forecasts for this week's remaining U.S. data from a survey compiled by The Wall Street Journal.

 
DATE      TIME  RELEASE                       PERIOD     CONSENSUS    PREVIOUS 
Tuesday   0900  S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City       Jul       +2.2%   (6)  +2.1% 
                  HPI Y/Y 
          1000  Consumer Confidence            Sep        89.0   (20)  89.4 
          1000  Job Openings                   Aug        7.2M   (15)  7.3M 
                  & Labor Turnover 
Wednesday 0815  ADP Jobs                       Sep       +68K    (8)  +38K 
          0830  Personal Income                Aug       +0.4%   (23) +0.4% 
          0830  Consumer Spending              Aug       +0.8%   (22) +0.2% 
          0830  PCE Prices M/M                 Aug       +0.3%   (16) +0.2% 
          0830  PCE Prices Y/Y                 Aug       +3.7%   (11) +3.7% 
          0830  Core PCE Prices M/M            Aug       +0.3%   (21) +0.2% 
          0830  Core PCE Prices Y/Y            Aug       +3.3%   (12) +3.3% 
          0830  Real GDP (3rd Reading)         2Q        +1.5%   (20) +1.5%* 
          0830  GDP Prices (3rd Reading)       2Q        +6.4%   (9)  +6.4%* 
          0945  Chicago PMI                    Sep        52.0   (7)   47.1 
Thursday  0830  Jobless Claims                 Sep 26     200K   (20)  197K 
          0945  S&P Global U.S. Mfg PMI        Sep        57.0   (7)   57.0** 
          1000  ISM Mfg PMI                    Sep        54.9   (22)  54.6 
          1000  Construction Spending          Aug       +0.1%   (17) -0.5% 
Friday    0830  Nonfarm Payrolls               Sep       +84K    (24) +162K 
          0830  Unemployment Rate              Sep        4.1%   (24)  4.1% 
          0830  Avg. Hourly Wages M/M***       Sep       +0.3%   (21) +0.27% 
          0830  Avg. Hourly Wages Y/Y***       Sep       +3.1%   (11) +3.09% 
          1000  Factory Orders                 Aug       +0.2%   (14) +0.9% 
 
*2Q 2nd Reading 
**Sep Flash Reading 
***all private-sector workers 
 
(Figures in parentheses refer to number of economists surveyed.) 
 
Write to Tim Merle at dataweekahead@wsj.com 

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