Global bond sell-off deepens, sending borrowing costs higher around the world

CNN Business

Sep 24

New York — The US 30-year Treasury yield rose as high as 5.45% Thursday morning, its highest level since 2004, extending a recent sell-off that’s seen yields climb around the globe. ...

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Thursday’s action follows a bond sell-off Wednesday after new data from S&P Global showed robust US business activity in September but hot inflation from higher energy prices.That’s prompting traders to bet on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates further to tamp down inflation. Traders are pricing in a 71% chance the Fed hikes in October, up from 11% one month ago, according to the CME FedWatch forecasting tool.Bond yields help set interest rates across the economy. As yields climb to multi-year highs, it pushes up the cost of borrowing for consumers, businesses and governments alike.To be sure, traders’ bets on central bank policy can shift depending on the outlook for oil prices and the conflict in the Middle East. Yields could p","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"cnn.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"CLIX":"ProShares Long Online/Short Stores ETF","EQRR":"ProShares Equities for Rising Rates ETF","VXZ":"中期波动率指数期货ETN","RULE":"Adaptive Core ETF","BAMA":"Brookstone Active ETF","CGUI":"Capital Group Ultra Short Income ETF","MODL":"VictoryShares WestEnd US Sector ETF","IUS":"Invesco RAFI Strategic US ETF","ESLV":"Eventide Large Cap Value ETF","LCG":"Sterling Capital Focus Equity ETF","ADPV":"ADAPTIV SELECT ETF","CGUS":"Capital Group Core Equity ETF","FITZ":"Fitz-Gerald Must Have Portfolio ETF","LGH":"HCM Defender 500 Index ETF","CGDV":"Capital Group Dividend Value ETF","MAPP":"Harbor Multi Asset Explorers ETF","CDC":"VictoryShares US EQ Income Enhanced Volatility Wtd ETF","ILCV":"iShares Morningstar Value ETF","BKDV":"BNY MELLON DYNAMIC VALUE ETF","SPCT":"Liberty One Spectrum ETF","REGL":"ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend Aristocrats ETF","DECU":"AllianzIM U.S. Equity Buffer15 Uncapped Dec ETF","RMIF":"LHA Risk-Managed Income ETF","ARP":"PMV ADAPTIVE RISK PARITY ETF","HIDV":"AB US HIGH DIVIDEND ETF","EES":"WisdomTree U.S. SmallCap Fund","RHTX":"RH TACTICAL OUTLOOK ETF","VOTE":"TCW Transform 500 ETF","PSC":"Principal U.S. Small-Cap Multi-Factor ETF","IMCG":"iShares Morningstar Mid-Cap Growth ETF","PLGI":"PL Growth and Income ETF","CAOS":"ALPHA ARCHITECT TAIL RISK ETF","FXD":"First Trust Consumer Discretiona","VTV":"Vanguard Value ETF","MDLV":"MORGAN DEMPSEY LARGE CAP VALUE ETF","DIVZ":"TrueShares Low Volatility Equity Income ETF","AGGZ":"Twin Oak Enhanced Fixed Income ETF","XOEX":"Xtrackers S&P 100 Ex Top 20 ETF","DFUV":"DIMENSIONAL US MARKETWIDE VALUE ETF","BSR":"Beacon Unified Catalyst ETF","FLV":"American Century Focused Large Cap Value ETF","SDOG":"ALPS Sector Dividend Dogs ETF","SAMT":"Strategas Macro Thematic Opportunities ETF","TCTL":"Premise Capital Diversified Tactical ETF","BNDW":"Vanguard Total World Bond ETF","REMC":"COLUMBIA RESEARCH ENHANCED MID CAP ETF","PRVS":"Parnassus Value Select ETF","FLXI":"Invesco Flexible Income ETF","FT":"富兰克林通用信托","TEQI":"T. Rowe Price Equity Income ETF"},"translate_title":"全球债券抛售加深，导致全球借贷成本上升","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MODL":0.65,"ARP":0.65,"PRVS":0.65,"REGL":0.65,"ESLV":0.65,"ADPV":0.65,"FLXI":0.76,"ILCV":0.65,"PSC":0.65,"RHTX":0.65,"DIVZ":0.65,"PLGI":0.86,"IMCG":0.76,"EES":0.65,"VTV":0.86,"DECU":0.65,"TEQI":0.65,"RMIF":0.76,"SAMT":0.65,"CAOS":0.65,"FT":0.86,"BNDW":1.5,"XOEX":0.65,"HIDV":0.86,"FLV":0.65,"CGUS":0.76,"VXZ":0.65,"BKDV":0.65,"CLIX":0.9,"DFUV":0.9,"IUS":0.65,"FXD":0.65,"SPCT":0.65,"CGDV":0.9,"AGGZ":0.65,"RULE":0.86,"FITZ":0.86,"VOTE":0.65,"LGH":0.76,"MDLV":0.76,"MAPP":0.86,"REMC":0.65,"SDOG":0.9,"LCG":0.9,"BSR":0.65,"BAMA":0.86,"TCTL":0.65,"EQRR":0.86,"CGUI":0.65,"CDC":0.65},"content_text":"New York — \n\n\n            The US 30-year Treasury yield rose as high as 5.45% Thursday morning, its highest level since 2004, extending a recent sell-off that’s seen yields climb around the globe.\n    \n\n            Bond yields are on the rise again this week, surging to fresh highs for this year. Thursday’s action follows a bond sell-off Wednesday after new data from S&P Global showed robust US business activity in September but hot inflation from higher energy prices.\n    \n\n            That’s prompting traders to bet on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates further to tamp down inflation. Traders are pricing in a 71% chance the Fed hikes in October, up from 11% one month ago, according to the CME FedWatch forecasting tool.\n    \n\n            The key 10-year Treasury yield rose as high as 5.15% Thursday morning, a fresh high for this year and the highest level since 2007.\n    \n\n\n\n\n            Bond yields help set interest rates across the economy. As yields climb to multi-year highs, it pushes up the cost of borrowing for consumers, businesses and governments alike.\n    \n\n            Oil prices rose Thursday, with Brent crude trading around $105 per barrel. That’s adding to inflation pressures and pushing up yields.\n    \n\n            The rise in yields is a global phenomenon: Ten-year yields in France and Germany rose to their highest levels since 2008. Japan’s 10-year yield rose to 3.08%, a level not seen since 1996.\n    \n\n            Yields rise when bond prices fall. A sell-off is rattling global bond markets, sending yields higher, as traders adjust to the prospect of central banks raising interest rates.\n    \n\n            “Every major bond market’s feeling the heat at once,” Nigel Green, CEO at deVere Group, said in a note.\n    \n\n\n\n      Related article\n    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\nYields have surged this year as traders assess the path of inflation and the Federal Reserve’s benchmark interest rate, among other factors.\n\nTing Shen/Bloomberg/Getty Images\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n10-year Treasury yield hits 5.1% for first time in 19 years\n\n5  min read\n\n\n\n            At the start of the year, some Wall Street analysts expected the Fed to have room to cut rates this year. But the energy shock caused by the war with Iran and a resilient economy have shifted the outlook. The two-year yield, which tracks expectations for Fed policy, has climbed from 3.48% at the start of the year to 4.87% this month.\n    \n\n            The surge in energy prices caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz reignited inflation pressures in economies around the world, leading to a shift in central banks’ outlook toward prioritizing raising rates.\n    \n\n            “Anyone positioned for a global easing cycle has had the ground pulled from under them,” Green said.\n    \n\n            To be sure, traders’ bets on central bank policy can shift depending on the outlook for oil prices and the conflict in the Middle East. Yields could pullback if traders start to scale back their bets on higher central bank rates.\n    \n\n            But for long-term bonds, which also move on factors including economic growth and inflation, some analysts say yields look set to remain elevated at multi-year highs. The rise in yields can also make life more expensive by pushing up the cost of mortgages, auto loans and other business loans.\n    \n\n            The Treasury Department on Thursday is set to buy back up to $6 billion in long-term US bonds in the second of a series of increased buyback operations first announced in August. Bond buybacks can help tame a rise in yields. Still, yields have pushed higher despite the buyback program, and investors say fundamentals are pointing to long-term yields remaining elevated for longer.\n    \n\n            Stocks were set to open lower: S&P 500 futures fell 0.5%, and Nasdaq 100 futures sank 1%.\n    \n\nThis is a developing story and will be updated.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}