On September 25, AXT Inc rose 5.06% in regular trading, trading at $79.93/share, with turnover of approximately $290 million, extending its recent strong rebound momentum.
On the news front, the latest industry research indicates that AXT plans to raise indium phosphide (InP) substrate prices by another 10% in Q4, marking the largest single price increase on record and the fourth consecutive hike. Multiple manufacturers confirmed at a recent optoelectronics expo that InP substrates remain in severe undersupply, with the industry-wide shortage reaching the scale of millions of wafers and order backlogs extending to 2028. NVIDIA has projected that InP demand could surge approximately 20-fold by 2030, while capacity expansion cycles of 18 to 36 months make near-term resolution of the supply-demand imbalance unlikely.
The broader photonics and optical communications sector continues to benefit from AI-driven compute architecture upgrades. High-speed optical module demand for 1.6T and 3.2T applications is accelerating, with the market for 800G and above modules projected to grow from $45.2 billion to $129.5 billion between 2026 and 2028, reinforcing the structural tailwind for InP substrate suppliers like AXT Inc.
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