On September 25, Comcast fell 3.1% in regular trading, trading at $21.45/share, with turnover of $73.54 million. The decline was triggered by KeyBanc downgrading its rating on the stock, compounded by Citigroup cutting its price target to $27.50 from $30 while maintaining a Buy rating.
Over the past two weeks, multiple investment banks have slashed their price targets on Comcast in rapid succession: MoffettNathanson cut to $43 from $52, BofA Securities to $35 from $37, UBS to $27 from $32, and Goldman Sachs to $24 from $25. The consensus mean target now stands at $30.75. UBS projects broadband subscriber net losses of 160,000 in Q3 and 200,000 in Q4, with total revenue and EBITDA expected to decline 2.2% and 3.1%, respectively.
The bearish sentiment intensified after Comcast CFO Jason Armstrong warned earlier this month that Q3 broadband subscriber losses are unlikely to improve year-over-year, citing irrational competitor pricing. UBS noted that competition is worsening as fiber deployment accelerates, fixed wireless access persists, and Starlink ramps its v3 constellation.
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