On September 21, Ciena rose 5.33% in pre-market trading, trading at $366.15/share, with turnover of $5.1568 million. The move was primarily driven by Evercore ISI upgrading the stock from In Line to Outperform, while significantly raising its price target from $375 to $550.
The upgrade reflects growing Wall Street confidence in Ciena's growth trajectory. According to FactSet, the company now carries an average analyst rating of overweight with a mean price target of $525.78. Earlier, Morgan Stanley raised its target to $450 from $425, citing 1,100 basis points of market share gains over four years and an estimated $12 billion in new data center opportunities by 2029. Northland Securities also lifted its target to $550.
Fundamentally, Ciena reported fiscal Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.11, beating consensus of $1.73 by nearly 22% and surging 215% year-over-year. Revenue reached $1.67 billion, topping estimates, and the company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $6.42 billion. At its recent Investor Forum, management outlined a roughly 30% revenue CAGR target through fiscal 2029, along with adjusted gross margins near 50% and operating margins of 32%-35%, reinforcing the multi-year AI-driven optical networking demand thesis. The company also launched a $200 million venture capital program, Ciena Ventures, targeting next-generation data center and networking infrastructure investments.
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